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 Automatic translation  Automatic translation Category: ecology and environment
Updated March 23, 2023
  Magnitude of the upcoming climate change

Image: Magnitude of future global warming
Mean global surface temperature differences are calculated relative to the period 1850–1900.
Whatever the scenario, it is only after 2030 that the curves really separate. Then, the amplitude of climatic disasters will depend on the scenario, and therefore on our behaviour.
Scientists generally predict that the frequency and intensity of tropical cyclones will increase with increasing ocean surface temperature. Current climate models predict that cyclones will become more intense and more frequent as the surface temperature of the ocean increases.
Source: The Physical Science Basis. Working Group I Contribution to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change


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